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Hydropower potential in the upper Indus basin under future hydro-climatology

Updated Date: 1/5/2024 10:55:13 AM

The hydropower potential in the upper Indus basin under future hydro-climatology was prepared using the Hydropower Potential Exploration (HyPE) as part of Work Package 2 in the SustainIndus project. Under future hydro-climatology, the HyPE model was run to explore theoretical potential followed by technical, financial and sustainable potential under policy assumptions for the mixed energy focus scenarios and risk-averse geo-hazard risk representation. In total, 72 future scenarios are considered combining CMIP6 model ensembles for 2 future time horizons (Mid: 2036-2065, Far: 2066-2095), 3 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5, 7.0 and 8.5), 4 corner Global Climate Models for each RCP (Cold Dry, Cold Wet, Warm Dry, Warm Wet) and 3 Hydropower Potential classes (Technical, financial and sustainable).